3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,782 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,067/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$284
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$644
Net cashflow
$619/mo
Annual
$7,425/yr
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.15%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in WA, #1,947 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Bellingham School District (urban): math 47% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #106 of 291 in WA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sehome High School (1,163 students, 25% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,190 units permitted in Whatcom County in 2024 (327 in 5+ unit buildings).
Whatcom County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.0% in Bellingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,067/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 4351% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XN1ZPPFCBC9M13
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29