3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,034 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,502/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$502
HOA
−$280
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$41/mo
Annual
$488/yr
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.79%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($488/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#199 in IL, #3,692 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
Valley View CUSD 365U (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #289 of 620 in IL (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.9% in Bolingbrook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XNEXMZ866K8646
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29