4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,476 sqft ·
Built 1912
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,375/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$852
Tax + insurance
−$278
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$-44/mo
Annual
$-526/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$45,500
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-526/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (4.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#219 in MN, #4,606 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Thief River Falls School District (town): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #201 of 301 in MN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Challenger Elementary (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 783 students, 41% FRL); Franklin Middle (math 34% / reading 45%, grade F, #150 of 258 statewide, top 59%, 421 students, 37% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11 units permitted in Pennington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pennington County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29