6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,668 sqft ·
Built 1872
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,077/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$856
Net cashflow
$2,098/mo
Annual
$25,179/yr
Cap rate
20.68%
Cash-on-cash
51.38%
DSCR
3.29
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $699/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Albany Elementary School (math 37% / reading 48%, grade F, #1,356 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 513 students, 75% FRL); John F Kennedy Middle School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #534 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 695 students, 77% FRL); Thomas R Proctor High School (math 86% / reading 62%, grade B+, #659 of 1,100 statewide, top 60%, 2,675 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools at 76% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 49% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Utica City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1872 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $130k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1872 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely outdated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in poor condition
Moderate: roof shingles
— visible wear and tear
Moderate: exterior siding
— weathered and discolored
Major: kitchen countertops
— worn and outdated
Major: wood flooring
— worn and in poor condition
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