3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,327/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$12,035
Tax + insurance
−$3,321
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,269
Net cashflow
$702/mo
Annual
$8,423/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.31%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$642,600
Investor read
This is a 10 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $2.29M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $702 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $70/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.03M (11.4% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($2.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.03M (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#459 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Tweedy Elementary (460 students, 88% FRL); South Gate Middle (1,342 students, 94% FRL); South East High (math 30% / reading 68%, grade D, #369 of 1,170 statewide, top 32%, 2,057 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 67% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.7% in South Gate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $20,327/mo this rent would consume 327% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 4041% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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