2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,257/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$16/mo
Annual
$198/yr
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($198/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (9.5% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Blair Moody Elementary School (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #603 of 1,397 statewide, top 43%, 350 students, 81% FRL); Robert J West Middle School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 641 students, 68% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $139k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.4% in Taylor — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29