2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
796 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,393/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$363
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$-232/mo
Annual
$-2,786/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.38%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-232 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (22.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (24.7% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $139k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Eastern Heights Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #812 of 857 statewide, top 95%, 266 students, 93% FRL); Battle Creek Middle (math 4% / reading 14%, grade F, #252 of 258 statewide, top 98%, 693 students, 85% FRL); Harding Senior High (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #424 of 471 statewide, top 90%, 1,717 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 64% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Paul Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XQPN15CA65SRSD
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29