4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1907
· Condo
· Active
· 250 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,384/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$291
Net cashflow
$-392/mo
Annual
$-4,703/yr
Cap rate
4.10%
Cash-on-cash
-7.82%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$60,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $215k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-392 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (26.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (35.6% below list).
It's been on market 250 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (35.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 7.5% in Toledo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 250 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant weathering and discoloration
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown bushes need trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-XR1T85556G0RJ5
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29