3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$955/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$26
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$572/mo
Annual
$6,861/yr
Cap rate
29.20%
Cash-on-cash
81.81%
DSCR
4.64
1% rule
3.19%
Cash to close
$8,386
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($208 loan paydown + $852 appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#340 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Henry County Public School District (rural): math 45% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #78 of 131 in VA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Axton Elementary (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 364 students, 91% FRL); Laurel Park Middle (math 57% / reading 79%, grade A-, #94 of 342 statewide, top 28%, 786 students, 99% FRL); Magna Vista High (math 49% / reading 80%, grade B-, #213 of 319 statewide, top 69%, 1,104 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 62% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 29.2% vs local median 3.1% in Chatmoss — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XRG66ZA98047G0
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29