2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 358 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$235
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$476/mo
Annual
$5,716/yr
Cap rate
19.02%
Cash-on-cash
45.47%
DSCR
3.02
1% rule
2.22%
Cash to close
$12,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#319 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
Sikeston R-6 (town): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #243 of 324 in MO (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 4.0% in Sikeston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but age is implied
Major: flooring
— No visible flooring, but age is implied
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible walls or paint, but age is implied
Major: windows
— No visible windows, but age is implied
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible HVAC or mechanicals, but age is implied
CashFlowRE · CFR-XS6MSCFMCWM81V
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29