2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
920 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Other
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,408/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$707
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$296/mo
Annual
$3,547/yr
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.39%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$37,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#171 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Benton Elementary School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #234 of 676 statewide, top 36%, 527 students, 51% FRL); South Marshall Middle (math 21% / reading 39%, grade F, #146 of 217 statewide, top 69%, 462 students, 55% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $135k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XSN2YM6651Z9TE
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29