25 bd · 15.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,320/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,933
Tax + insurance
−$1,250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,587
Net cashflow
$4,550/mo
Annual
$54,597/yr
Cap rate
13.57%
Cash-on-cash
26.00%
DSCR
2.16
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$210,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 5-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($55k/yr) — positive. Per door: $910/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $750k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($682k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $682k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $39k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#21 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Central Falls (suburban): math 2% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #38 of 39 in RI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 5.2% in Central Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,320/mo this rent would consume 300% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1380% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XT02DD2V8CVDAB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29