4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1904
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$642
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,113
Net cashflow
$1,526/mo
Annual
$18,316/yr
Cap rate
11.05%
Cash-on-cash
16.99%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath multifamily listed at $385k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $385k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($379k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $379k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#293 in PA, #2,594 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
Ambridge Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #408 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 6.6% in Ambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,300/mo this rent would consume 107% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 397% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XT7JPP69M3MJ5K
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29