3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,226 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$245
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$167/mo
Annual
$2,007/yr
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.52%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#171 in IL, #3,167 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XTAMPQFKXCWP2X
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29