3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,631 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 152 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,736/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,966
Tax + insurance
−$625
HOA
−$417
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$575
Net cashflow
$-847/mo
Annual
$-10,161/yr
Cap rate
3.58%
Cash-on-cash
-9.68%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$104,992
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-847 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (32.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (27.0% below list).
It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $252k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Wildlight Elementary (math 90% / reading 80%, grade A+, #35 of 2,144 statewide, top 2%, 1,025 students, 34% FRL); Yulee Middle School (math 73% / reading 61%, grade A-, #80 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 1,202 students, 41% FRL); Yulee High School (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,407 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XVH4R229ZRY02H
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29