3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,216 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 234 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,409/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$14/mo
Annual
$172/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.34%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($172/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (21.7% below list).
It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Tecumseh (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #215 of 270 in OK (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Cross Timbers Es (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 409 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Ms (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 345 statewide, top 72%, 451 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 616 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29