21320 Highway 102 Hwy · Pink, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brick home with wood burning fireplace on 1.89 acres. Paved road. Barn, 2 car detached garage, home needs updating. New water heater. Selling as is. Sell Conventional.
Key facts
- 1.82 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1976
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead: Yes
- Financial info: Assumable loan: No
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Propane
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level entry
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Combination foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Barn(s) and outbuildings; Wooded lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Two living areas; Wood-burning fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($172/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Tecumseh (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #215 of 270 in OK (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cross Timbers Es (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 409 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Ms (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 345 statewide, top 72%, 451 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 616 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.34%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $98,878
- Equity at exit
- $162,158
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.76×
- Total profit
- $290,325
- Equity at exit
- $349,700
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74873
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,409 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $955/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $116 | -5% $65 | +0% $14 | +5% $-37 | +10% $-88 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-97 | -5% $-41 | +0% $14 | +5% $70 | +10% $126 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $105 | -0.5pp $60 | base $14 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $180,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $180,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $180,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $180,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $194,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $194,900
-
2025-10-30$199,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $955 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,620 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$665/yr (+$55/mo · 69.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,904
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$955
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,352
- − Management
- −$1,352
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$2,975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$714
- After-tax cash flow
- $886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tecumseh
- NCES district ID
- 4029610
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,473
- Composite
- 13.54/100
- National rank
- #9516
- State rank
- #215 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pink
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #120
- US rank
- #12039
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pink, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,033
Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,622 people
- By 2030
- 78,816 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 82,766 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 86,031 · +12.3%
- By 2075
- 93,316 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 95,820 · +25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.2% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.18%
- Current HPI
- 286.31
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-2.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $194,900 MLSOK
- 2025-10-30 Listed $199,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $955 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…