3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1915
· Other
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$935/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-225/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.67%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-225/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (2.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#90 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
North Star 10 (rural): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #113 of 169 in ND (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Star Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #102 of 236 statewide, top 49%, 223 students, 30% FRL); North Star High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #16 of 144 statewide, top 12%, 76 students, 32% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.
Towner County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XW2E5WF0S1CMM5
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29