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1011 3rd Ave
D Composite 43.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

1011 3rd Ave · Cando, ND 58324
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 900 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1915 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The residence address is 1011. There is a house at 1013, but it is for storage only. This home has a large remodeled eat in kitchen. Bay window in the LR. There are 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Mud/laundry room on entry level. Furnace is approximately 1 yr old. This property has 6 city lots, 4 sheds, large deck, 2 detached garages, & vinyl siding & windows. Backs up to city park!

Key facts

  • Multiple garages
  • Six city lots
  • Bright living room

Tags

SIX CITY LOTSMULTIPLE GARAGESREMODELED EAT-IN KITCHENBRIGHT LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Other type of heating
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-225/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (2.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (22.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#90 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • North Star 10 (rural): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #113 of 169 in ND (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Star Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #102 of 236 statewide, top 49%, 223 students, 30% FRL); North Star High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #16 of 144 statewide, top 12%, 76 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Towner County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,513 (22.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.67%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$13,221
Equity at exit
$53,912
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$48,715
Equity at exit
$83,085

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58324

Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$935 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $945/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$-19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $959
Max offer price $116,589
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $15 +0% $-19 +5% $-53 +10% $-87
Rent -10% $-93 -5% $-56 +0% $-19 +5% $18 +10% $55
Rate -1.0pp $42 -0.5pp $12 base $-19 +0.5pp $-50 +1.0pp $-81

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $119,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$945 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,175 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$230/yr (+$19/mo · 24.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,222
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$945
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$898
− Management
−$898
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$2,323
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$557
After-tax cash flow
$333/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Star 10
NCES district ID
3800390
Math proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$50,163
Composite
34.97/100
National rank
#9959
State rank
#113 of 169 in ND

Livability — Cando

Score
70/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#8005

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cando, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,354

Population outlook (Towner County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,328 people
By 2030
2,390 · +2.7%
By 2040
2,588 · +11.2%
By 2050
2,861 · +22.9%
By 2075
4,024 · +72.9%
By 2100
4,838 · +107.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Native American 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 24% Scottish 6% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Towner

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.7) · D 26.0% · R 71.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-52.8pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -45.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.7 2020: R+43.7 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+9.3 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $119,900 GFAAR
  • 2017-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-08-01 Sold (MLS) GFAAR
  • 2017-03-27 Listed $53,000 GFAAR

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $945 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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