4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,795 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 131 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,322
Tax + insurance
−$420
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$443
Net cashflow
$-174/mo
Annual
$-2,084/yr
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.95%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$70,560
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $252k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-174 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (10.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $211k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in TX, #925 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Comal ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #58 of 826 in TX (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 1896 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,420 units permitted in Comal County in 2024 (1,164 in 5+ unit buildings).
Comal County population projected at +70% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.4% in New Braunfels — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XWYKB26N4RSN24
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29