2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$949/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$173
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$522/mo
Annual
$6,269/yr
Cap rate
25.35%
Cash-on-cash
68.05%
DSCR
4.03
1% rule
2.88%
Cash to close
$9,212
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $33k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($949 rent vs $33k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $227 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $987 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D-.
Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #814 of 994 statewide, top 83%, 296 students, 90% FRL); Dennis Middle School (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #293 of 330 statewide, top 90%, 597 students, 82% FRL); Richmond High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 1,332 students, 66% FRL).
Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severe wear and tear
Major: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and in poor condition
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
Major: flooring
— severe wear and tear
Major: interior walls
— dated wallpaper and peeling paint
Minor: windows
— some appear old
CashFlowRE · CFR-XXSM014E121YWZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29