1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
450 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 219 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$837/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$54
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$55/mo
Annual
$655/yr
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.93%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($837 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#309 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Zoned schools: Ryan Park Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 398 students, 45% FRL); Angola Middle School (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #120 of 330 statewide, top 37%, 557 students, 53% FRL); Angola High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 785 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 209 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Steuben County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.7% in Angola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XYCFB7AAC800GB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29