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115 Cedar Ridge Trl
D Composite 43.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

115 Cedar Ridge Trl · Angola, IN 46703
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 450 sqft · Manufactured · 219 Days on market
Built 2020 Excellent condition 0.50 ac lot $178/sqft · 35% above area Est $59k · 35% over $54/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 2020 Keystone Retreat RV on a Double Lot!! Affordable Paradise at "Valley of the Pines"! A seasonal community (April 15 - Oct 15) on Eldo Lake, located just a few hundred feet from Lake James. Relax under the trees and enjoy the serenity of this move-in ready home, on your half acre private wooded lot. 1 Bedroom PLUS 2 separate lofts provide multiple sleeping areas. Fireplace and built-in entertainment system with large screen TV. Serene park-like setting with 2 sheds and a large firepit. "The Valley" is golf cart friendly and amenities include fishing, swimming, clubhouse, shuffleboard, basketball, horseshoes, paddle boats, and a playground. Annual dues of$650 include water, trash, and community maintenance. May be seen by appointment only.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Private wooded lot
  • Golf cart friendly

Tags

DOUBLE LOTPRIVATE WOODED LOTBUILT-IN ENTERTAINMENT SYSTEMLARGE FIREPITGOLF CART FRIENDLY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($837 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.7% in Angola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#309 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Zoned schools: Ryan Park Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 398 students, 45% FRL); Angola Middle School (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #120 of 330 statewide, top 37%, 557 students, 53% FRL); Angola High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 785 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 209 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Steuben County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.93%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,230
List price
$80,000
Delta
35.07%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Woodland Pass Vop Pass 0.18mi 1/1.0 400 (-11%) 1mo $80,000 $200 72
500 Timber Vop Pass 0.10mi 1/1.0 400 (-11%) 12mo $83,900 $210 66
140 Woodland Pass 0.20mi 1/1.0 400 (-11%) 9mo $57,900 $145 65
100 Valley Gorge Pass 0.20mi 1/1.0 400 (-11%) 12mo $32,900 $82 62
255 Pine Lake Pass 0.19mi 1/1.0 400 (-11%) 15mo $47,500 $119 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-9,439
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-3,555
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46703

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$837 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$54
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $768
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $110 -5% $82 +0% $55 +5% $27 +10% $-1
Rent -10% $-12 -5% $22 +0% $55 +5% $88 +10% $121
Rate -1.0pp $95 -0.5pp $75 base $55 +0.5pp $34 +1.0pp $13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$54 · $648/yr
Likely covers
watertrash

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $80,000 Pending 219 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 217 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 216 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 215 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 211 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 210 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 209 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 208 DOM
  9. 2025-11-05
    listed $80,000 Active 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Beautiful 2020 Keystone Retreat RV on a Double Lot!! Affordable Paradise at "Valley of the Pines"! A seasonal community (April 15 - Oct 15) on Eldo Lake, located just a few hundred feet from Lake James. Relax under the trees and enjoy the serenity of this move-in ready home, on your half acre private wooded lot. 1 Bedroom PLUS 2 separate lofts provide multiple sleeping areas. Fireplace and built-in entertainment system with large screen TV. Serene park-like setting with 2 sheds and a large firepit. "The Valley" is golf cart friendly and amenities include fishing, swimming, clubhouse, shuffleboard, basketball, horseshoes, paddle boats, and a playground. Annual dues of$650 include water, trash, and community maintenance. May be seen by appointment only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,048
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$804
− Management
−$804
− HOA
−$648
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable loss
−$616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$148
After-tax cash flow
$803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This 2020 Keystone Retreat RV is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a move-in ready living space with modern amenities and a serene park-like setting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Fire pit maintenance — Maintains the amenity and adds value for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Fire pit maintenance — Maintains the amenity and adds value for both resale and rental.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Angola

Score
66/100
State rank
#309
US rank
#12201

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Steuben County · 18,572 people
City population
18,572
Metro
Angola, IN
Population (ZIP)
18,572
Household income
$74,569
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
433.0

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,334 people
By 2030
33,801 · -1.6%
By 2040
32,076 · -6.6%
By 2050
30,022 · -12.6%
By 2075
25,626 · -25.4%
By 2100
21,257 · -38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.1% · R 70.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.35%
Current HPI
211.2495
Rent YoY
Metro
Angola, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $80,000 IRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…