115 Cedar Ridge Trl · Angola, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 2020 Keystone Retreat RV on a Double Lot!! Affordable Paradise at "Valley of the Pines"! A seasonal community (April 15 - Oct 15) on Eldo Lake, located just a few hundred feet from Lake James. Relax under the trees and enjoy the serenity of this move-in ready home, on your half acre private wooded lot. 1 Bedroom PLUS 2 separate lofts provide multiple sleeping areas. Fireplace and built-in entertainment system with large screen TV. Serene park-like setting with 2 sheds and a large firepit. "The Valley" is golf cart friendly and amenities include fishing, swimming, clubhouse, shuffleboard, basketball, horseshoes, paddle boats, and a playground. Annual dues of$650 include water, trash, and community maintenance. May be seen by appointment only.
Key facts
- Double lot
- Private wooded lot
- Golf cart friendly
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($837 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.7% in Angola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#309 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Zoned schools: Ryan Park Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 398 students, 45% FRL); Angola Middle School (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #120 of 330 statewide, top 37%, 557 students, 53% FRL); Angola High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 785 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 209 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Steuben County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.93%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,230
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- 35.07%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Woodland Pass Vop Pass | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-11%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $200 | 72 |
| 500 Timber Vop Pass | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-11%) | 12mo | $83,900 | $210 | 66 |
| 140 Woodland Pass | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-11%) | 9mo | $57,900 | $145 | 65 |
| 100 Valley Gorge Pass | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-11%) | 12mo | $32,900 | $82 | 62 |
| 255 Pine Lake Pass | 0.19mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-11%) | 15mo | $47,500 | $119 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-9,439
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-3,555
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46703
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$54
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $110 | -5% $82 | +0% $55 | +5% $27 | +10% $-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-12 | -5% $22 | +0% $55 | +5% $88 | +10% $121 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $95 | -0.5pp $75 | base $55 | +0.5pp $34 | +1.0pp $13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $54 · $648/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrash
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $80,000 Pending 219 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2025-11-05$80,000 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Beautiful 2020 Keystone Retreat RV on a Double Lot!! Affordable Paradise at "Valley of the Pines"! A seasonal community (April 15 - Oct 15) on Eldo Lake, located just a few hundred feet from Lake James. Relax under the trees and enjoy the serenity of this move-in ready home, on your half acre private wooded lot. 1 Bedroom PLUS 2 separate lofts provide multiple sleeping areas. Fireplace and built-in entertainment system with large screen TV. Serene park-like setting with 2 sheds and a large firepit. "The Valley" is golf cart friendly and amenities include fishing, swimming, clubhouse, shuffleboard, basketball, horseshoes, paddle boats, and a playground. Annual dues of$650 include water, trash, and community maintenance. May be seen by appointment only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$804
- − Management
- −$804
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable loss
- −$616
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$148
- After-tax cash flow
- $803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2020 Keystone Retreat RV is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a move-in ready living space with modern amenities and a serene park-like setting.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both Fire pit maintenance — Maintains the amenity and adds value for both resale and rental.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Fire pit maintenance — Maintains the amenity and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Angola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #12201
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Steuben County · 18,572 people
- City population
- 18,572
- Metro
- Angola, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,572
- Household income
- $74,569
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 433.0
Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,334 people
- By 2030
- 33,801 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 32,076 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 30,022 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 25,626 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 21,257 · -38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Steuben
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.1% · R 70.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.35%
- Current HPI
- 211.2495
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Angola, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-11-05 Listed $80,000 IRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…