104 S Division St

Francisco, IN 47649

$77,000A-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · Built 1925 · SingleFamily · Active · 31 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $909/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$404
• Tax + insurance: −$46
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$191
• Net cashflow: $268/mo
• Annual: $3,218/yr
• Cap rate: 10.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.92%
• DSCR: 1.66
• 1% rule: 1.18%
• Cash to close: $21,560

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $77k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($909 rent vs $77k).
• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($532 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• East Gibson School Corporation (town): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #171 of 301 in IN (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Waldo J Wood Memorial Jhs (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #212 of 330 statewide, top 67%, 119 students, 60% FRL); Waldo J Wood Memorial High (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #221 of 369 statewide, top 63%, 212 students, 37% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Gibson County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.