4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,160 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Townhouse
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,694/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$481
HOA
−$116
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$566
Net cashflow
$142/mo
Annual
$1,698/yr
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.29%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $257k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#155 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Doswell E. Brooks Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 860 statewide, top 84%, 225 students, 74% FRL); Walker Mill Middle (math 8% / reading 36%, grade F, #125 of 225 statewide, top 58%, 693 students, 73% FRL); Suitland High (math 8% / reading 36%, grade F, #171 of 222 statewide, top 78%, 1,834 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $142k; list at $265k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XZWMYX2TB1G7BJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29