28 bd · 20.0 ba ·
3,258 sqft ·
Built 1964
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,466/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,080
Tax + insurance
−$2,250
HOA
−$450
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,458
Net cashflow
$3,229/mo
Annual
$38,743/yr
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.25%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$378,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 7-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.35M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($39k/yr) — positive. Per door: $807/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.35M).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.19M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.19M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oak Grove Elementary (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #339 of 1,400 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
30 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 79546% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $420k; list at $1.35M implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $16,466/mo this rent would consume 195% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 1808% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y0H97R72F73KWN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29