3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,656 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Townhouse
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,744/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,929
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$120
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$576
Net cashflow
$-263/mo
Annual
$-3,161/yr
Cap rate
5.43%
Cash-on-cash
-3.07%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$103,012
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $368k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-263 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (12.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (25.4% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $274k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#291 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 392 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
11 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; list at $368k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Andover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y19NVC011S7ANS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29