12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,692 sqft ·
Built 1968
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,558/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,587
Net cashflow
$443/mo
Annual
$5,315/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.37%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$223,972
Investor read
This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $74/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $756k (5.5% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($752k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $752k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Grant Community School (424 students, 72% FRL); North Salem High School (2,239 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 53% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $175k; list at $800k implies a 357% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y1PYXADZJNPV2V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29