4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,102 sqft ·
Built 1873
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,218/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$466
Net cashflow
$197/mo
Annual
$2,369/yr
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.76%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (1.4% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#76 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, commute A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
East Hartford School District (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #140 of 153 in CT (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1873 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 29% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in East Hartford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,218/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1205% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1873 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor
— Needs complete removal and replacement
Major: Debris
— Needs removal for safety and aesthetics
Major: Incomplete renovation
— Needs full renovation to meet standards
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y2CGY763TTPQH6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29