4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,170 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$975/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$323/mo
Annual
$3,873/yr
Cap rate
11.83%
Cash-on-cash
19.79%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $70k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Blytheville School District (town): math 8% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #233 of 238 in AR (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Blytheville Primary School (431 students, 97% FRL); Blytheville Middle School (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #195 of 201 statewide, top 97%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Blytheville High School (math 5% / reading 14%, grade F, #280 of 292 statewide, top 96%, 460 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools at 99% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mississippi County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 6.8% in Blytheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y2KKF66PWSFRE9
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29