27691 Longview Ln

Seligman, MO 65745

$225,000F

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,980 sqft · Built 2002 · Other · Active · 181 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,268/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax + insurance: −$161
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$266
• Net cashflow: $-339/mo
• Annual: $-4,069/yr
• Cap rate: 4.48%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.46%
• DSCR: 0.71
• 1% rule: 0.56%
• Cash to close: $63,000

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $225k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (26.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (43.7% below list).
• It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $127k (43.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#274 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Southwest R-V (rural): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #288 of 324 in MO (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Southwest Elem. (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 347 students, 64% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #330 of 391 statewide, top 84%, 219 students, 61% FRL); Southwest High (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #314 of 521 statewide, top 61%, 262 students, 56% FRL).
• Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.