3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,331/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$134
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$836/mo
Annual
$10,037/yr
Cap rate
45.71%
Cash-on-cash
140.79%
DSCR
7.26
1% rule
5.23%
Cash to close
$7,129
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $836 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $176 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $764 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#160 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Jackson R-II (suburban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #73 of 324 in MO (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Orchard Drive Elem. (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #537 of 1,115 statewide, top 53%, 388 students, 52% FRL); Jackson Sr. High (math 45% / reading 62%, grade C-, #83 of 521 statewide, top 16%, 1,764 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 45.7% vs local median 3.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y2TCG6FJM0EM9C
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29