12 bd · 18.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1968
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,483/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,071
Tax + insurance
−$579
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$941
Net cashflow
$891/mo
Annual
$10,690/yr
Cap rate
9.00%
Cash-on-cash
9.67%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$110,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $395k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $297/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $395k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($383k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $383k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fallsburg Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #583 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $78k; list at $395k implies a 410% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y33PJZB8N1R7QJ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29