6201 State Route 42 · Woodbourne, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$395,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
3-Unit Income Property & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; ~$43K Annual | Optional Adjacent Property Available Three-unit income-producing property located on Route 42 in Woodbourne, NY. Current rental income is approximately $43,000 annually with stable, reliable tenants. Rents are set at fair levels, supporting long-term occupancy and consistent payments. Ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to offset expenses with built-in income. Additional opportunity: An adjacent converted barn property is also available, generating approximately $24,000 annually. The two properties sit side-by-side and share a driveway. They can be purchased separately or together. Combined ownership ma
Key facts
- Built 1968
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $395k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $297/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $395k).
- Recommended offer: $383k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fallsburg Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #583 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($383k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $395k implies a 410% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.67%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $271,885
- Equity at exit
- $355,847
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.84×
- Total profit
- $756,077
- Equity at exit
- $767,398
Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12788
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 22.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,483 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,071
- Tax from tax record
- −$415 /mo · $4,977/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$941
- Net cashflow
- $891
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 6 | $4,482 |
| #1 | 4 | 6 | $1,494 |
| #2 | 4 | 6 | $1,494 |
| #3 | 4 | 6 | $1,494 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,483 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,750
- Closing costs
- $11,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $395,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $395,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $395,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $395,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $395,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $395,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $395,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $395,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $395,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $395,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $395,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $395,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $395,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $395,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $395,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$395,000 Active 918-char remark
-
2025-07-31historical
-
2025-06-30$299,500 Active
-
2025-06-21price $299,500
-
2025-06-21historical
-
2024-08-14$300,000 Active
-
2007-11-16soldstatus $77,500
-
2007-11-13soldstatus $77,500
-
2006-11-02$99,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,977 · $415/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,826 · $486/mo
- Expected delta
- +$849/yr (+$71/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,126
- − Property taxes
- −$4,977
- − Insurance
- −$1,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,304
- − Management
- −$4,304
- − Depreciation
- −$11,491
- Taxable income
- $4,620
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,109
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,581/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fallsburg Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610950
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,513
- Composite
- 23.84/100
- National rank
- #7805
- State rank
- #583 of 590 in NY
Livability — Woodbourne
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodbourne, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,122
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,974 people
- By 2030
- 65,609 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 58,878 · -14.6%
- By 2050
- 52,500 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 39,941 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 28,880 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 16% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.93%
- Current HPI
- 472.8635
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+299.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $395,000 FSBO.com
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-30 Listed $299,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-21 Price Changed $299,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-21 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-14 Listed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-16 Sold (MLS) $77,500 HGMLS
- 2007-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2006-11-02 Listed $99,000 HGMLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,977 · +68.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…