2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 261 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$962/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$181/mo
Annual
$2,175/yr
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.83%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($962 rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Robert H. Jenkins Jr Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 904 students, 64% FRL); Putnam Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #291 of 571 statewide, top 52%, 177 students, 75% FRL, charter); Interlachen Jr-Sr High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,097 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 762 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $81k (51%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $79k implies a 365% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.2% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y48A5S1YQX3JVE
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29