3 bd · None ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 166 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,822/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$887/mo
Annual
$10,645/yr
Cap rate
19.62%
Cash-on-cash
47.58%
DSCR
3.12
1% rule
2.28%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $887 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bushkill El Sch (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 366 students, 70% FRL); Lehman Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 512 statewide, top 79%, 603 students, 59% FRL); East Stroudsburg Shs North (math 29% / reading 24%, grade F, #371 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 940 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 309 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 4.1% in Porter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Appliances
— Outdated and in disrepair
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and in disrepair
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repainting
Major: Hardwood flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement
Major: Paint
— Chipped and outdated
Major: Windows
— Old and may need replacement
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29