16 bd · 12.0 ba ·
8,026 sqft ·
Built 1961
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$25,059/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$15,287
Tax + insurance
−$3,833
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,262
Net cashflow
$677/mo
Annual
$8,128/yr
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
1.00%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$816,200
Investor read
This is a 6×1bd/1ba + 4×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $2.92M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $62/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.51M (14.0% below list).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($2.65M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.51M (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $20k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $87k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#647 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
West Covina Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #472 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 44 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 33% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $2.08M; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.3% in West Covina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $25,059/mo this rent would consume 292% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 1294% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y5ZAHV5597925E
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29