3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,709 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 401 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,913/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$305
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$402
Net cashflow
$708/mo
Annual
$8,498/yr
Cap rate
16.08%
Cash-on-cash
34.95%
DSCR
2.55
1% rule
2.01%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $708 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 401 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 587 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $95k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,913/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1988% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 401 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y63PEYEY6DQEQ2
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29