2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,215/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$774
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$70/mo
Annual
$844/yr
Cap rate
6.86%
Cash-on-cash
2.04%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$41,300
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($844/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (17.6% below list).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#69 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
Tift County (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #96 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Annie Belle Clark Elementary School (math 38% / reading 39%, grade F, #463 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 804 students, 100% FRL); Eighth Street Middle School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #327 of 470 statewide, top 70%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Tift County High School (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 2,273 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Tift County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tift County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $148k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.3% in Tifton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y6W2YQ8J2ZTDZH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29