4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,856 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,592/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,782
Tax + insurance
−$512
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$544
Net cashflow
$-247/mo
Annual
$-2,963/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.11%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$95,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-247 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $296k (12.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (23.7% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $259k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,371 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $275k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.5% in Sierra View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y7PJXM999MMW2V
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29