18 bd · 9.0 ba ·
3,785 sqft ·
Built 1998
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,084/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,670
Tax + insurance
−$1,166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,698
Net cashflow
$1,550/mo
Annual
$18,594/yr
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.49%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$195,972
Investor read
This is a 6 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $700k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $258/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $700k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($658k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $658k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#149 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime D-.
Burke County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #89 of 178 in NC (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 431 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (94 in 5+ unit buildings).
Burke County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in Morganton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,084/mo this rent would consume 168% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1145% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y7ZK2A2878ESVM
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29