4313 Alicia Dr

Amarillo, TX 79109

$226,000C-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,062 sqft · Built 1980 · Townhouse · Active · 33 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,033/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,185
• Tax + insurance: −$389
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$427
• Net cashflow: $32/mo
• Annual: $381/yr
• Cap rate: 6.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.60%
• DSCR: 1.03
• 1% rule: 0.90%
• Cash to close: $63,280

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $226k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($381/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (10.0% below list).
• It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $203k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
• Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Puckett El (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 344 students, 32% FRL); Bonham Middle (math 61% / reading 49%, grade B-, #248 of 1,662 statewide, top 15%, 867 students, 37% FRL); Amarillo H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,170 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 58% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amarillo ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.