1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1923
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$24,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,866
Tax + insurance
−$2,207
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,062
Net cashflow
$8,968/mo
Annual
$107,620/yr
Cap rate
13.47%
Cash-on-cash
25.62%
DSCR
2.14
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$420,000
Investor read
This is a 12 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive. Per door: $747/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($24k rent vs $1.50M).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.46M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.46M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#319 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Long Beach Unified (urban): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #216 of 517 in CA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Olivia Nieto Herrera Elementary (math 21%, 719 students, 76% FRL); Jefferson Leadership Academies (math 26% / reading 42%, grade F, #192 of 498 statewide, top 39%, 997 students, 71% FRL); Wilson High (math 28% / reading 63%, grade D-, #417 of 1,170 statewide, top 36%, 3,515 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 75 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.25M; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 1.9% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $24,103/mo this rent would consume 404% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3426% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29