3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 1921
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,074/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$226
Net cashflow
$166/mo
Annual
$1,995/yr
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.51%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ann Visger K5 Preparatory Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 621 students, 93% FRL); Cb Sabbath 68 Preparatory Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #481 of 493 statewide, top 98%, 301 students, 93% FRL); River Rouge High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #704 of 713 statewide, top 100%, 966 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
14 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $95k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29