1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
690 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$930/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$260
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$195
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-346/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.90%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-346/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $60k (7.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($930 rent vs $65k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $60k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Alief ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #717 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sneed El (math 19% / reading 19%, grade F, #3,739 of 4,322 statewide, top 87%, 1,033 students, 92% FRL); O'Donnell Middle (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 1,230 students, 89% FRL); Alief Isd J J A E P (13 students, 77% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YA0P9R4KP0QWCB
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29