3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,925 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Townhouse
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$427
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$77/mo
Annual
$928/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.33%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($928/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#222 in PA, #1,945 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: commute F.
Quakertown Community SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #154 of 539 in PA (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Quakertown Community Hs (math 79% / reading 24%, grade D+, #119 of 437 statewide, top 27%, 1,668 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.2% in Quakertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YAYFEJDGW42JAF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29