2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$887/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$451
Tax + insurance
−$143
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$107/mo
Annual
$1,278/yr
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.31%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$24,080
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $86k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#27 in ND, #4,527 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Beulah 27 (town): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #37 of 53 in ND (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Beulah Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 236 statewide, top 73%, 319 students, 24% FRL); Beulah Middle School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #26 of 35 statewide, top 79%, 236 students, 22% FRL); Beulah High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #134 of 144 statewide, top 93%, 206 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mercer County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn condition
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated appearance
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered condition
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29