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317 3rd Ave NW
D+ Composite 47.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$86,000

317 3rd Ave NW · Beulah, ND 58523
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1940 Fair condition 7,500 sqft lot Est $80k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Steel siding
  • Central air

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSDETACHED GARAGENEW FURNACESTEEL SIDINGCENTRAL AIR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Garage faces front; Additional parking; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story
  • Construction: Metal siding; Block foundation; Built with concrete basement
  • Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Publicly maintained road frontage on a city street; No fencing; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Wood; Hardwood; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Accessible entrance with ramp; Concrete basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#27 in ND, #4,527 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Beulah 27 (town): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #37 of 53 in ND (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Beulah Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 236 statewide, top 73%, 319 students, 24% FRL); Beulah Middle School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #26 of 35 statewide, top 79%, 236 students, 22% FRL); Beulah High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #134 of 144 statewide, top 93%, 206 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mercer County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,710 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.31%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 2nd Ave Se Ave SE 0.49mi 2/1.0 888 (+11%) 17mo $89,000 $100 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-7,138
Equity at exit
$12,823
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$2,574
Equity at exit
$7,436

Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58523

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$887 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$451
Tax est. 1.5%
$108 /mo · $1,290/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $86,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $166 -5% $136 +0% $107 +5% $77 +10% $47
Rent -10% $36 -5% $71 +0% $107 +5% $142 +10% $177
Rate -1.0pp $150 -0.5pp $128 base $107 +0.5pp $84 +1.0pp $62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,500
Closing costs
$2,580
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $86,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $86,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $86,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $86,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $86,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $86,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $86,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $86,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $86,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $86,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $86,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,646
− Mortgage interest
−$4,817
− Property taxes
−$1,290
− Insurance
−$430
− Repairs & maintenance
−$852
− Management
−$852
− Depreciation
−$2,502
Taxable loss
−$97
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$23
After-tax cash flow
$1,301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen, bathrooms, exterior, and flooring to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn condition
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets modernize the kitchen and increase value
  • Resale Replace dated bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh flooring improves functionality and aesthetics, increasing both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn condition Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Exterior siding · Weathered condition Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets modernize the kitchen and increase value
  • Resale Replace dated bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh flooring improves functionality and aesthetics, increasing both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beulah 27
NCES district ID
3800032
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$65,415
Composite
29.33/100
National rank
#6547
State rank
#37 of 53 in ND

Livability — Beulah

Score
74/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#4527

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beulah, ND
City population
3,277
Population (ZIP)
3,277

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,891 people
By 2030
10,506 · +6.2%
By 2040
11,872 · +20.0%
By 2050
13,612 · +37.6%
By 2075
19,871 · +100.9%
By 2100
25,938 · +162.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Scotch-Irish 6% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.0) · D 14.8% · R 83.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.2pp toward R · 2008: -29.9pp · 2024: -69.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.0 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+67.9 2012: R+44.9 2008: R+29.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.64%
Current HPI
162.0576
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $86,000 GNMLS
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $79,000 GNMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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