3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,670 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,303/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,548
Tax + insurance
−$492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$-220/mo
Annual
$-2,642/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$82,632
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-220 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (10.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (21.9% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in MS, #1,514 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Brandon Elementary School (math 69% / reading 65%, grade B+, #11 of 375 statewide, top 3%, 741 students, 100% FRL); Brandon Middle School (math 67% / reading 49%, grade B, #11 of 179 statewide, top 6%, 1,193 students, 100% FRL); Brandon High School (math 47% / reading 49%, grade D, #27 of 197 statewide, top 13%, 1,648 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.2% in Brandon — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Exposed roof structure
Major: exterior
— Exposed framing, no siding
Major: flooring
— Exposed subfloor
Major: interior walls
— Exposed framing, no drywall
Major: bathrooms
— Exposed plumbing and fixtures
Major: kitchen
— Exposed cabinets and appliances
CashFlowRE · CFR-YC12TT8H1A24HA
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29