900 Main St

Roscoe, TX 79545

$86,900C+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · Built 2000 · SingleFamily · Active · 40 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,098/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$456
• Tax + insurance: −$244
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$231
• Net cashflow: $168/mo
• Annual: $2,016/yr
• Cap rate: 8.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.29%
• DSCR: 1.37
• 1% rule: 1.26%
• Cash to close: $24,332

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
• It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $84k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($601 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#172 in TX, #4,537 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Roscoe Collegiate ISD (rural): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #721 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
• Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Nolan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Nolan County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.